Community Heritage Financial Stock Performance

CMHF Stock  USD 28.70  0.08  0.28%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0149, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Community Heritage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Community Heritage is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Community Heritage has a negative expected return of -0.0505%. Please make sure to confirm Community Heritage's total risk alpha, daily balance of power, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day typical price , to decide if Community Heritage performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Community Heritage Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical indicators, Community Heritage is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
  

Community Heritage Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,966  in Community Heritage Financial on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (96.00) from holding Community Heritage Financial or give up 3.24% of portfolio value over 90 days. Community Heritage Financial is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.8334% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 7% of pink sheets are less volatile than Community, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Community Heritage is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Community Heritage Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Community Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.70 90 days 28.70 
about 17.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Community Heritage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.14 (This Community Heritage Financial probability density function shows the probability of Community Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Community Heritage Financial has a beta of -0.0149 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Community Heritage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Community Heritage Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Community Heritage Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Community Heritage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Community Heritage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community Heritage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.8728.7029.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5128.3429.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.5829.4130.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.3027.5628.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Community Heritage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Community Heritage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Community Heritage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Community Heritage.

Community Heritage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Community Heritage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Community Heritage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Community Heritage Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Community Heritage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Community Heritage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Community Heritage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Community Heritage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Community Heritage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Community Heritage Fundamentals Growth

Community Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Community Heritage, and Community Heritage fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Community Pink Sheet performance.

About Community Heritage Performance

By analyzing Community Heritage's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Community Heritage's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Community Heritage has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Community Heritage has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Community Heritage Financial, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals and businesses in Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Middletown, Maryland. Community Heritage operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Community Heritage performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Community Heritage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Community Heritage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Community Heritage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Community Heritage's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Community Heritage's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Community Heritage's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Community Heritage's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Community Heritage's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Community Heritage's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Community Heritage's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Community Heritage's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Community Heritage's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Community Heritage's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Community Heritage's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Community Pink Sheet analysis

When running Community Heritage's price analysis, check to measure Community Heritage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Community Heritage is operating at the current time. Most of Community Heritage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Community Heritage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Community Heritage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Community Heritage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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